**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 82% for Michigan's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Hillary Scholten's proven electoral strength in a district trending leftward since 2016 and carried by Kamala Harris by eight points in 2024.** Scholten, who secured re-election comfortably last cycle after flipping the longtime Republican seat in 2022, benefits from incumbency advantages amid stable district fundamentals around Grand Rapids. The recent March 5 announcement of Republican challenger Terri DeBoer, a well-known former TV meteorologist running as an outsider, has not shifted odds, as GOP faces uphill path without public polling. August 4 primaries loom as next catalyst for nominee clarity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
14%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$280 거래량
84%
Republican Party
$158 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 82% for Michigan's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Hillary Scholten's proven electoral strength in a district trending leftward since 2016 and carried by Kamala Harris by eight points in 2024.** Scholten, who secured re-election comfortably last cycle after flipping the longtime Republican seat in 2022, benefits from incumbency advantages amid stable district fundamentals around Grand Rapids. The recent March 5 announcement of Republican challenger Terri DeBoer, a well-known former TV meteorologist running as an outsider, has not shifted odds, as GOP faces uphill path without public polling. August 4 primaries loom as next catalyst for nominee clarity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
거래량
$438종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 82% for Michigan's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Hillary Scholten's proven electoral strength in a district trending leftward since 2016 and carried by Kamala Harris by eight points in 2024.** Scholten, who secured re-election comfortably last cycle after flipping the longtime Republican seat in 2022, benefits from incumbency advantages amid stable district fundamentals around Grand Rapids. The recent March 5 announcement of Republican challenger Terri DeBoer, a well-known former TV meteorologist running as an outsider, has not shifted odds, as GOP faces uphill path without public polling. August 4 primaries loom as next catalyst for nominee clarity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$438종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 82% for Michigan's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Hillary Scholten's proven electoral strength in a district trending leftward since 2016 and carried by Kamala Harris by eight points in 2024.** Scholten, who secured re-election comfortably last cycle after flipping the longtime Republican seat in 2022, benefits from incumbency advantages amid stable district fundamentals around Grand Rapids. The recent March 5 announcement of Republican challenger Terri DeBoer, a well-known former TV meteorologist running as an outsider, has not shifted odds, as GOP faces uphill path without public polling. August 4 primaries loom as next catalyst for nominee clarity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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