House Speaker Mike Johnson's tenure faces risks from Republicans' razor-thin House majority—currently around 218-213 with four vacancies—exacerbated by recent member deaths, resignations, and ethics probes, though Democratic exits like Reps. Eric Swalwell and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (facing expulsion) have provided slight breathing room pending special elections. January 2025 rules changes mandate nine GOP backers for a motion to vacate, shielding him from individual challenges seen in 2024. Recent resolution of a partial government shutdown over DHS-immigration funding highlighted leadership strains, while upcoming floor votes on expulsions and continuing resolutions could ignite caucus divisions. With 2026 midterms approaching, trader sentiment weighs procedural protections against persistent fiscal and party unity pressures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$99,246 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
10%
2026년 12월 31일
29%
$99,246 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$3,977 거래량
10%
2026년 12월 31일
$1,932 거래량
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson's tenure faces risks from Republicans' razor-thin House majority—currently around 218-213 with four vacancies—exacerbated by recent member deaths, resignations, and ethics probes, though Democratic exits like Reps. Eric Swalwell and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (facing expulsion) have provided slight breathing room pending special elections. January 2025 rules changes mandate nine GOP backers for a motion to vacate, shielding him from individual challenges seen in 2024. Recent resolution of a partial government shutdown over DHS-immigration funding highlighted leadership strains, while upcoming floor votes on expulsions and continuing resolutions could ignite caucus divisions. With 2026 midterms approaching, trader sentiment weighs procedural protections against persistent fiscal and party unity pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
거래량
$99,246종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson's tenure faces risks from Republicans' razor-thin House majority—currently around 218-213 with four vacancies—exacerbated by recent member deaths, resignations, and ethics probes, though Democratic exits like Reps. Eric Swalwell and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (facing expulsion) have provided slight breathing room pending special elections. January 2025 rules changes mandate nine GOP backers for a motion to vacate, shielding him from individual challenges seen in 2024. Recent resolution of a partial government shutdown over DHS-immigration funding highlighted leadership strains, while upcoming floor votes on expulsions and continuing resolutions could ignite caucus divisions. With 2026 midterms approaching, trader sentiment weighs procedural protections against persistent fiscal and party unity pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
거래량
$99,246종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson's tenure faces risks from Republicans' razor-thin House majority—currently around 218-213 with four vacancies—exacerbated by recent member deaths, resignations, and ethics probes, though Democratic exits like Reps. Eric Swalwell and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (facing expulsion) have provided slight breathing room pending special elections. January 2025 rules changes mandate nine GOP backers for a motion to vacate, shielding him from individual challenges seen in 2024. Recent resolution of a partial government shutdown over DHS-immigration funding highlighted leadership strains, while upcoming floor votes on expulsions and continuing resolutions could ignite caucus divisions. With 2026 midterms approaching, trader sentiment weighs procedural protections against persistent fiscal and party unity pressures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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