Minnesota's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has not elected a Republican since 2016, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in the November 2026 general election following August primaries, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum this cycle, sustain the wide probability gap. A significant national political realignment, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong Republican primary winner could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,058 거래량
$10,058 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$10,058 거래량
$10,058 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,165 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$3,893 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has not elected a Republican since 2016, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in the November 2026 general election following August primaries, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum this cycle, sustain the wide probability gap. A significant national political realignment, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong Republican primary winner could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$10,058종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has not elected a Republican since 2016, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in the November 2026 general election following August primaries, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum this cycle, sustain the wide probability gap. A significant national political realignment, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong Republican primary winner could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,058종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has not elected a Republican since 2016, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in the November 2026 general election following August primaries, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum this cycle, sustain the wide probability gap. A significant national political realignment, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or an exceptionally strong Republican primary winner could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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