Incumbent Rep. Kelly Morrison (D) holds commanding 91.5% trader consensus to win Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic rating and D+11 Partisan Voting Index from Cook Political Report. Morrison's decisive 2024 general election victory—58% to 41% over Republican Tad Jude—reinforces the district's affluent, college-educated suburban Twin Cities base that favors Democrats. Her April 8 announcement securing over $11 million in federal funding for 15 community projects across MN-03 highlights effective constituent service early in the cycle. With no prominent Republican challenger announced ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, odds remain firm; potential shifts could arise from a strong GOP recruit, national midterm dynamics, or late-breaking scandals before the November 3 election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Kelly Morrison (D) holds commanding 91.5% trader consensus to win Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic rating and D+11 Partisan Voting Index from Cook Political Report. Morrison's decisive 2024 general election victory—58% to 41% over Republican Tad Jude—reinforces the district's affluent, college-educated suburban Twin Cities base that favors Democrats. Her April 8 announcement securing over $11 million in federal funding for 15 community projects across MN-03 highlights effective constituent service early in the cycle. With no prominent Republican challenger announced ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, odds remain firm; potential shifts could arise from a strong GOP recruit, national midterm dynamics, or late-breaking scandals before the November 3 election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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