Incumbent Rep. Pete Stauber's (R) proven strength in the R+7 leaning Minnesota 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 65.5% to retain the seat in November 2026. Stauber's dominant 2024 reelection and lack of primary challengers solidify his path, reflecting the district's reliable Republican base in northern Minnesota. Democrats, at 28.5%, face a fragmented primary field after reality TV personality Luke Gulbranson's April 15 announcement joining earlier candidates like Trina Swanson; no district polling exists yet to indicate viability. Key dates ahead include the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, with national midterm dynamics potentially influencing turnout in this safe Republican seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,614 거래량
$10,614 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
66%
민주당
29%
$10,614 거래량
$10,614 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,495 거래량
66%
민주당
$5,119 거래량
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Pete Stauber's (R) proven strength in the R+7 leaning Minnesota 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 65.5% to retain the seat in November 2026. Stauber's dominant 2024 reelection and lack of primary challengers solidify his path, reflecting the district's reliable Republican base in northern Minnesota. Democrats, at 28.5%, face a fragmented primary field after reality TV personality Luke Gulbranson's April 15 announcement joining earlier candidates like Trina Swanson; no district polling exists yet to indicate viability. Key dates ahead include the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, with national midterm dynamics potentially influencing turnout in this safe Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$10,614종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Pete Stauber's (R) proven strength in the R+7 leaning Minnesota 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 65.5% to retain the seat in November 2026. Stauber's dominant 2024 reelection and lack of primary challengers solidify his path, reflecting the district's reliable Republican base in northern Minnesota. Democrats, at 28.5%, face a fragmented primary field after reality TV personality Luke Gulbranson's April 15 announcement joining earlier candidates like Trina Swanson; no district polling exists yet to indicate viability. Key dates ahead include the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, with national midterm dynamics potentially influencing turnout in this safe Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,614종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Pete Stauber's (R) proven strength in the R+7 leaning Minnesota 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 65.5% to retain the seat in November 2026. Stauber's dominant 2024 reelection and lack of primary challengers solidify his path, reflecting the district's reliable Republican base in northern Minnesota. Democrats, at 28.5%, face a fragmented primary field after reality TV personality Luke Gulbranson's April 15 announcement joining earlier candidates like Trina Swanson; no district polling exists yet to indicate viability. Key dates ahead include the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, with national midterm dynamics potentially influencing turnout in this safe Republican seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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