Trader consensus heavily favors former state legislator Reilly Neill at 82% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her name recognition, campaign infrastructure, and endorsement from ex-Governor Brian Schweitzer amid a fragmented field of five candidates. Challengers like Tribal Historic Preservation Officer Michael Black Wolf (9%), Kalispell newcomer Kathleen McLaughlin (7%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (2%) trail as first-time contenders with limited visibility. The April 12 Democratic forum in Helena featured Neill, Black Wolf, Hummert, and Bankhead discussing housing, wages, and tribal issues, but no shifts elevated rivals, reinforcing Neill's lead six weeks pre-primary. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of her path to nomination.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Reilly Neill 82%
Michael BlackWolf 9.0%
Kathleen McLaughlin 7.0%
Michael Hummert 4.9%
Reilly Neill
82%
Michael BlackWolf
9%
Kathleen McLaughlin
7%
Michael Hummert
5%
Alani Bankhead
2%
Reilly Neill 82%
Michael BlackWolf 9.0%
Kathleen McLaughlin 7.0%
Michael Hummert 4.9%
Reilly Neill
82%
Michael BlackWolf
9%
Kathleen McLaughlin
7%
Michael Hummert
5%
Alani Bankhead
2%
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former state legislator Reilly Neill at 82% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her name recognition, campaign infrastructure, and endorsement from ex-Governor Brian Schweitzer amid a fragmented field of five candidates. Challengers like Tribal Historic Preservation Officer Michael Black Wolf (9%), Kalispell newcomer Kathleen McLaughlin (7%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (2%) trail as first-time contenders with limited visibility. The April 12 Democratic forum in Helena featured Neill, Black Wolf, Hummert, and Bankhead discussing housing, wages, and tribal issues, but no shifts elevated rivals, reinforcing Neill's lead six weeks pre-primary. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of her path to nomination.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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