Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 84% win in the March 10 Republican primary over Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a GOP victory in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District general election on November 3. The R+21 partisan lean, reflected in Ezell's 74% margins in 2022 and 2024 cycles, underscores the safe Republican seat covering southeast Mississippi, including the Gulf Coast. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced with 58% in a low-turnout primary, facing an uphill battle against the incumbent's fundraising edge and historical precedents. Scenarios like a major Ezell scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds, though forecasters rate it solid Republican.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,268 거래량
$19,268 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
7%
$19,268 거래량
$19,268 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$6,328 거래량
93%
민주당
$12,939 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 84% win in the March 10 Republican primary over Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a GOP victory in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District general election on November 3. The R+21 partisan lean, reflected in Ezell's 74% margins in 2022 and 2024 cycles, underscores the safe Republican seat covering southeast Mississippi, including the Gulf Coast. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced with 58% in a low-turnout primary, facing an uphill battle against the incumbent's fundraising edge and historical precedents. Scenarios like a major Ezell scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds, though forecasters rate it solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$19,268종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 84% win in the March 10 Republican primary over Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a GOP victory in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District general election on November 3. The R+21 partisan lean, reflected in Ezell's 74% margins in 2022 and 2024 cycles, underscores the safe Republican seat covering southeast Mississippi, including the Gulf Coast. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced with 58% in a low-turnout primary, facing an uphill battle against the incumbent's fundraising edge and historical precedents. Scenarios like a major Ezell scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds, though forecasters rate it solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,268종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell's dominant 84% win in the March 10 Republican primary over Sawyer Walters has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a GOP victory in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District general election on November 3. The R+21 partisan lean, reflected in Ezell's 74% margins in 2022 and 2024 cycles, underscores the safe Republican seat covering southeast Mississippi, including the Gulf Coast. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced with 58% in a low-turnout primary, facing an uphill battle against the incumbent's fundraising edge and historical precedents. Scenarios like a major Ezell scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds, though forecasters rate it solid Republican.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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