North Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index of D+17, anchored by portions of central Wake County. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile challenger. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive filing or redistricting shifts affecting the seat, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge that narrows the district's historical margins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,800 거래량
$10,800 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$10,800 거래량
$10,800 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,224 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$5,576 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index of D+17, anchored by portions of central Wake County. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile challenger. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive filing or redistricting shifts affecting the seat, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge that narrows the district's historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$10,800종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index of D+17, anchored by portions of central Wake County. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile challenger. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive filing or redistricting shifts affecting the seat, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge that narrows the district's historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,800종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a partisan voting index of D+17, anchored by portions of central Wake County. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile challenger. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive filing or redistricting shifts affecting the seat, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge that narrows the district's historical margins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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