North Carolina's 11th congressional district features incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards facing Democratic nominee Jamie Ager in the November 2026 general election, following both candidates' decisive primary victories on March 3. A December 2025 poll showed Ager narrowly ahead in a hypothetical matchup, reflecting the race's competitiveness despite the district's Republican lean after 2025 redistricting. National Democratic support through the DCCC's Red to Blue program, combined with emphasis on local issues such as Hurricane Helene recovery and affordability, has elevated the contest's profile among battleground House races. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of candidate strength, turnout dynamics in western North Carolina, and midterm environment factors that could influence the final margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
39%
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
39%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 11th congressional district features incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards facing Democratic nominee Jamie Ager in the November 2026 general election, following both candidates' decisive primary victories on March 3. A December 2025 poll showed Ager narrowly ahead in a hypothetical matchup, reflecting the race's competitiveness despite the district's Republican lean after 2025 redistricting. National Democratic support through the DCCC's Red to Blue program, combined with emphasis on local issues such as Hurricane Helene recovery and affordability, has elevated the contest's profile among battleground House races. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of candidate strength, turnout dynamics in western North Carolina, and midterm environment factors that could influence the final margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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