Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in Polymarket odds for North Carolina's 12th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her unchallenged primary victory on March 3, 2026. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% due to Adams' decade-plus tenure in this urban Charlotte-based seat, bolstered by redistricting in October 2025 that preserved its strong Democratic lean, with no recent polls indicating competitiveness. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced in his primary but faces steep historical barriers in Solid D territory. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Adams scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,682 거래량
$23,682 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
8%
$23,682 거래량
$23,682 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,700 거래량
93%
공화당
$10,983 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in Polymarket odds for North Carolina's 12th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her unchallenged primary victory on March 3, 2026. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% due to Adams' decade-plus tenure in this urban Charlotte-based seat, bolstered by redistricting in October 2025 that preserved its strong Democratic lean, with no recent polls indicating competitiveness. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced in his primary but faces steep historical barriers in Solid D territory. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Adams scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$23,682종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in Polymarket odds for North Carolina's 12th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her unchallenged primary victory on March 3, 2026. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% due to Adams' decade-plus tenure in this urban Charlotte-based seat, bolstered by redistricting in October 2025 that preserved its strong Democratic lean, with no recent polls indicating competitiveness. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced in his primary but faces steep historical barriers in Solid D territory. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Adams scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,682종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams holds a commanding lead in Polymarket odds for North Carolina's 12th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her unchallenged primary victory on March 3, 2026. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% due to Adams' decade-plus tenure in this urban Charlotte-based seat, bolstered by redistricting in October 2025 that preserved its strong Democratic lean, with no recent polls indicating competitiveness. Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced in his primary but faces steep historical barriers in Solid D territory. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Adams scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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