Incumbent Republican Don Bacon's retirement last June opened Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District—an Omaha-based battleground with D+3 Cook PVI—elevating Democratic prospects in polls showing generic Democrats ahead by 5–7 points against unspecified Republicans. Brinker Harding stands unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary, while a crowded Democratic field led by State Sen. John Cavanaugh and Denise Powell in fundraising competes ahead of early voting. Recent developments, including a April 12 KETV Democratic forum and a March 30 candidate dropout consolidating the field, reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic flip, with odds implying 78% probability amid favorable district fundamentals and no incumbent advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$27,186 거래량
$27,186 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
79%
공화당
19%
$27,186 거래량
$27,186 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
$27,050 거래량
79%
공화당
$136 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Don Bacon's retirement last June opened Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District—an Omaha-based battleground with D+3 Cook PVI—elevating Democratic prospects in polls showing generic Democrats ahead by 5–7 points against unspecified Republicans. Brinker Harding stands unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary, while a crowded Democratic field led by State Sen. John Cavanaugh and Denise Powell in fundraising competes ahead of early voting. Recent developments, including a April 12 KETV Democratic forum and a March 30 candidate dropout consolidating the field, reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic flip, with odds implying 78% probability amid favorable district fundamentals and no incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
거래량
$27,186종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Don Bacon's retirement last June opened Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District—an Omaha-based battleground with D+3 Cook PVI—elevating Democratic prospects in polls showing generic Democrats ahead by 5–7 points against unspecified Republicans. Brinker Harding stands unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary, while a crowded Democratic field led by State Sen. John Cavanaugh and Denise Powell in fundraising competes ahead of early voting. Recent developments, including a April 12 KETV Democratic forum and a March 30 candidate dropout consolidating the field, reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic flip, with odds implying 78% probability amid favorable district fundamentals and no incumbent advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$27,186종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Don Bacon's retirement last June opened Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District—an Omaha-based battleground with D+3 Cook PVI—elevating Democratic prospects in polls showing generic Democrats ahead by 5–7 points against unspecified Republicans. Brinker Harding stands unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary, while a crowded Democratic field led by State Sen. John Cavanaugh and Denise Powell in fundraising competes ahead of early voting. Recent developments, including a April 12 KETV Democratic forum and a March 30 candidate dropout consolidating the field, reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic flip, with odds implying 78% probability amid favorable district fundamentals and no incumbent advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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