**Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a clear advantage in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Gottheimer, seeking a sixth term after winning the June 2 Democratic primary unopposed, benefits from established name recognition, a moderate profile, and substantial fundraising—reporting millions raised and strong cash reserves compared with his Republican opponent. The Republican nominee, Sean Kirrane, advanced through a limited primary field with far lower visibility and resources. No major late developments or shifts in polling have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries. Trader pricing in the 63–35 range for Democratic versus Republican victory reflects these structural factors: the district’s modest Democratic lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive pressure, while still leaving room for national midterm dynamics or turnout variations to influence the final margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
32%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$333 거래량
86%
Republican Party
$239 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a clear advantage in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Gottheimer, seeking a sixth term after winning the June 2 Democratic primary unopposed, benefits from established name recognition, a moderate profile, and substantial fundraising—reporting millions raised and strong cash reserves compared with his Republican opponent.
The Republican nominee, Sean Kirrane, advanced through a limited primary field with far lower visibility and resources. No major late developments or shifts in polling have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries. Trader pricing in the 63–35 range for Democratic versus Republican victory reflects these structural factors: the district’s modest Democratic lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive pressure, while still leaving room for national midterm dynamics or turnout variations to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$573종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a clear advantage in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Gottheimer, seeking a sixth term after winning the June 2 Democratic primary unopposed, benefits from established name recognition, a moderate profile, and substantial fundraising—reporting millions raised and strong cash reserves compared with his Republican opponent.
The Republican nominee, Sean Kirrane, advanced through a limited primary field with far lower visibility and resources. No major late developments or shifts in polling have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries. Trader pricing in the 63–35 range for Democratic versus Republican victory reflects these structural factors: the district’s modest Democratic lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive pressure, while still leaving room for national midterm dynamics or turnout variations to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$573종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a clear advantage in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Gottheimer, seeking a sixth term after winning the June 2 Democratic primary unopposed, benefits from established name recognition, a moderate profile, and substantial fundraising—reporting millions raised and strong cash reserves compared with his Republican opponent. The Republican nominee, Sean Kirrane, advanced through a limited primary field with far lower visibility and resources. No major late developments or shifts in polling have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries. Trader pricing in the 63–35 range for Democratic versus Republican victory reflects these structural factors: the district’s modest Democratic lean, incumbency, and absence of competitive pressure, while still leaving room for national midterm dynamics or turnout variations to influence the final margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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