The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in New Jersey's 12th Congressional District House race stems from the district's strong Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and consistent large Democratic margins, as seen in Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's 61% win in 2024 before her November 2025 retirement announcement opened the seat. A crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary on June 2 features split county party endorsements and competitive fundraising among mayors, legislators, and professionals like Adam Hamawy and Samuel Wang, but no polls indicate weakness, while Republicans have only perennial candidate Gregg Mele advancing unopposed. Scenarios that could challenge this include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, low turnout in the November 3 general, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,574 거래량
$10,574 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
9%
$10,574 거래량
$10,574 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$10,501 거래량
92%
공화당
$73 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in New Jersey's 12th Congressional District House race stems from the district's strong Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and consistent large Democratic margins, as seen in Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's 61% win in 2024 before her November 2025 retirement announcement opened the seat. A crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary on June 2 features split county party endorsements and competitive fundraising among mayors, legislators, and professionals like Adam Hamawy and Samuel Wang, but no polls indicate weakness, while Republicans have only perennial candidate Gregg Mele advancing unopposed. Scenarios that could challenge this include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, low turnout in the November 3 general, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$10,574종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in New Jersey's 12th Congressional District House race stems from the district's strong Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and consistent large Democratic margins, as seen in Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's 61% win in 2024 before her November 2025 retirement announcement opened the seat. A crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary on June 2 features split county party endorsements and competitive fundraising among mayors, legislators, and professionals like Adam Hamawy and Samuel Wang, but no polls indicate weakness, while Republicans have only perennial candidate Gregg Mele advancing unopposed. Scenarios that could challenge this include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, low turnout in the November 3 general, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,574종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in New Jersey's 12th Congressional District House race stems from the district's strong Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and consistent large Democratic margins, as seen in Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's 61% win in 2024 before her November 2025 retirement announcement opened the seat. A crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary on June 2 features split county party endorsements and competitive fundraising among mayors, legislators, and professionals like Adam Hamawy and Samuel Wang, but no polls indicate weakness, while Republicans have only perennial candidate Gregg Mele advancing unopposed. Scenarios that could challenge this include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, low turnout in the November 3 general, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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