The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area’s New York 26th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and delivered Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy 65 percent of the vote in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With both party primaries effectively uncontested—Kennedy advancing automatically and Republican Dennis Hannon facing no primary opposition—trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic price aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or fundraising surprises. Potential challengers to this positioning would require an unforeseen scandal, a sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or a late primary surprise that has not materialized in current filings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,829 거래량
$24,829 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
10%
$24,829 거래량
$24,829 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,225 거래량
93%
공화당
$11,605 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area’s New York 26th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and delivered Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy 65 percent of the vote in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With both party primaries effectively uncontested—Kennedy advancing automatically and Republican Dennis Hannon facing no primary opposition—trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic price aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or fundraising surprises. Potential challengers to this positioning would require an unforeseen scandal, a sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or a late primary surprise that has not materialized in current filings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$24,829종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area’s New York 26th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and delivered Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy 65 percent of the vote in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With both party primaries effectively uncontested—Kennedy advancing automatically and Republican Dennis Hannon facing no primary opposition—trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic price aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or fundraising surprises. Potential challengers to this positioning would require an unforeseen scandal, a sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or a late primary surprise that has not materialized in current filings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,829종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area’s New York 26th district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and delivered Democratic incumbent Tim Kennedy 65 percent of the vote in 2024, establishing a durable structural advantage. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With both party primaries effectively uncontested—Kennedy advancing automatically and Republican Dennis Hannon facing no primary opposition—trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic price aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or fundraising surprises. Potential challengers to this positioning would require an unforeseen scandal, a sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or a late primary surprise that has not materialized in current filings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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