Recent reports of OpenAI preparing a confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as early as mid-2026, targeting a potential listing by late 2026 or September at a valuation above $1 trillion, form the main catalyst behind the 54.5% implied probability for a $1T+ debut before 2027. The March 2026 funding round at $852 billion post-money, combined with $20 billion in 2025 revenue and accelerating enterprise adoption of large language models like those powering ChatGPT and Codex, supports momentum toward an accelerated timeline. However, the closely balanced odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around regulatory review, corporate restructuring from nonprofit roots, market conditions, and the CFO’s reported preference for a 2027 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include confirmation of any SEC filing, Q3 revenue updates, or shifts in competitive dynamics with rivals like Anthropic.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$276,230 거래량
$276,230 거래량
2026.12.31
$276,230 거래량
$276,230 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Recent reports of OpenAI preparing a confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as early as mid-2026, targeting a potential listing by late 2026 or September at a valuation above $1 trillion, form the main catalyst behind the 54.5% implied probability for a $1T+ debut before 2027. The March 2026 funding round at $852 billion post-money, combined with $20 billion in 2025 revenue and accelerating enterprise adoption of large language models like those powering ChatGPT and Codex, supports momentum toward an accelerated timeline. However, the closely balanced odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around regulatory review, corporate restructuring from nonprofit roots, market conditions, and the CFO’s reported preference for a 2027 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include confirmation of any SEC filing, Q3 revenue updates, or shifts in competitive dynamics with rivals like Anthropic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
거래량
$276,230종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Recent reports of OpenAI preparing a confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as early as mid-2026, targeting a potential listing by late 2026 or September at a valuation above $1 trillion, form the main catalyst behind the 54.5% implied probability for a $1T+ debut before 2027. The March 2026 funding round at $852 billion post-money, combined with $20 billion in 2025 revenue and accelerating enterprise adoption of large language models like those powering ChatGPT and Codex, supports momentum toward an accelerated timeline. However, the closely balanced odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around regulatory review, corporate restructuring from nonprofit roots, market conditions, and the CFO’s reported preference for a 2027 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include confirmation of any SEC filing, Q3 revenue updates, or shifts in competitive dynamics with rivals like Anthropic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
거래량
$276,230종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports of OpenAI preparing a confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as early as mid-2026, targeting a potential listing by late 2026 or September at a valuation above $1 trillion, form the main catalyst behind the 54.5% implied probability for a $1T+ debut before 2027. The March 2026 funding round at $852 billion post-money, combined with $20 billion in 2025 revenue and accelerating enterprise adoption of large language models like those powering ChatGPT and Codex, supports momentum toward an accelerated timeline. However, the closely balanced odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around regulatory review, corporate restructuring from nonprofit roots, market conditions, and the CFO’s reported preference for a 2027 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include confirmation of any SEC filing, Q3 revenue updates, or shifts in competitive dynamics with rivals like Anthropic.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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