**The high "No" probability on H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) being signed into law in 2026 stems primarily from its recent Senate defeat.** The bill, which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including versions in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), but stalled after Senate receipt. In early June 2026, a SAVE Act amendment failed 48-50 during debate on a reconciliation or DHS funding package, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block it—short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster amid a narrow GOP majority. With limited remaining legislative calendar in 2026, no viable alternative path has emerged despite administration priorities. Trader consensus reflects these procedural barriers and the absence of bipartisan support required for enactment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$168,367 거래량
$168,367 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$168,367 거래량
$168,367 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The high "No" probability on H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) being signed into law in 2026 stems primarily from its recent Senate defeat.** The bill, which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including versions in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), but stalled after Senate receipt. In early June 2026, a SAVE Act amendment failed 48-50 during debate on a reconciliation or DHS funding package, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block it—short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster amid a narrow GOP majority. With limited remaining legislative calendar in 2026, no viable alternative path has emerged despite administration priorities. Trader consensus reflects these procedural barriers and the absence of bipartisan support required for enactment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
거래량
$168,367종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The high "No" probability on H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) being signed into law in 2026 stems primarily from its recent Senate defeat.** The bill, which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including versions in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), but stalled after Senate receipt. In early June 2026, a SAVE Act amendment failed 48-50 during debate on a reconciliation or DHS funding package, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block it—short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster amid a narrow GOP majority. With limited remaining legislative calendar in 2026, no viable alternative path has emerged despite administration priorities. Trader consensus reflects these procedural barriers and the absence of bipartisan support required for enactment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$168,367종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The high "No" probability on H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) being signed into law in 2026 stems primarily from its recent Senate defeat.** The bill, which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House multiple times, including versions in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), but stalled after Senate receipt. In early June 2026, a SAVE Act amendment failed 48-50 during debate on a reconciliation or DHS funding package, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block it—short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster amid a narrow GOP majority. With limited remaining legislative calendar in 2026, no viable alternative path has emerged despite administration priorities. Trader consensus reflects these procedural barriers and the absence of bipartisan support required for enactment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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