The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House 220-208 on April 10, 2025, but has languished in the Senate since receipt that day, with no committee action or floor vote. Traders' 90.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's procedural standstill amid Democratic filibuster threats, as evidenced by recent blocks on similar pushes, including Sen. Alex Padilla's successful opposition in March 2026 and ongoing Majority Leader resistance lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture. With no scheduled Senate debate and the 119th Congress winding down, enactment in 2026 faces steep barriers despite Republican House control and White House support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$149,552 거래량
$149,552 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$149,552 거래량
$149,552 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House 220-208 on April 10, 2025, but has languished in the Senate since receipt that day, with no committee action or floor vote. Traders' 90.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's procedural standstill amid Democratic filibuster threats, as evidenced by recent blocks on similar pushes, including Sen. Alex Padilla's successful opposition in March 2026 and ongoing Majority Leader resistance lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture. With no scheduled Senate debate and the 119th Congress winding down, enactment in 2026 faces steep barriers despite Republican House control and White House support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
거래량
$149,552종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House 220-208 on April 10, 2025, but has languished in the Senate since receipt that day, with no committee action or floor vote. Traders' 90.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's procedural standstill amid Democratic filibuster threats, as evidenced by recent blocks on similar pushes, including Sen. Alex Padilla's successful opposition in March 2026 and ongoing Majority Leader resistance lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture. With no scheduled Senate debate and the 119th Congress winding down, enactment in 2026 faces steep barriers despite Republican House control and White House support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$149,552종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House 220-208 on April 10, 2025, but has languished in the Senate since receipt that day, with no committee action or floor vote. Traders' 90.5% implied probability on "No" reflects the bill's procedural standstill amid Democratic filibuster threats, as evidenced by recent blocks on similar pushes, including Sen. Alex Padilla's successful opposition in March 2026 and ongoing Majority Leader resistance lacking the 60 votes needed for cloture. With no scheduled Senate debate and the 119th Congress winding down, enactment in 2026 faces steep barriers despite Republican House control and White House support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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