South Carolina's 4th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and making it a safe seat for the party under all major forecasters. Incumbent Republican William Timmons, first elected in 2018, faces primary challengers on June 9 but holds strong local support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed after her party's primary was canceled, positioning her as the general-election nominee, yet the district's voting patterns and Timmons' incumbency create substantial structural barriers for Democratic performance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics with limited recent developments capable of altering the balance before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,526 거래량
$12,526 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$12,526 거래량
$12,526 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$10,244 거래량
88%
Democratic Party
$2,282 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and making it a safe seat for the party under all major forecasters. Incumbent Republican William Timmons, first elected in 2018, faces primary challengers on June 9 but holds strong local support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed after her party's primary was canceled, positioning her as the general-election nominee, yet the district's voting patterns and Timmons' incumbency create substantial structural barriers for Democratic performance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics with limited recent developments capable of altering the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$12,526종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and making it a safe seat for the party under all major forecasters. Incumbent Republican William Timmons, first elected in 2018, faces primary challengers on June 9 but holds strong local support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed after her party's primary was canceled, positioning her as the general-election nominee, yet the district's voting patterns and Timmons' incumbency create substantial structural barriers for Democratic performance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics with limited recent developments capable of altering the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,526종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential results and making it a safe seat for the party under all major forecasters. Incumbent Republican William Timmons, first elected in 2018, faces primary challengers on June 9 but holds strong local support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed after her party's primary was canceled, positioning her as the general-election nominee, yet the district's voting patterns and Timmons' incumbency create substantial structural barriers for Democratic performance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics with limited recent developments capable of altering the balance before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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