The open SC-05 House seat, vacated by incumbent Rep. Ralph Norman for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in this Solid Republican district with an R+11 partisan voter index and consistent GOP margins above 60% in recent cycles. Candidate filing closed March 30 without major surprises, setting a GOP primary matchup June 9 between state Sen. Wes Climer—boasting $488,000 cash on hand—and Bill Bledsoe, against a Democratic field of Andrew Clough, Mallory Dittmer, and Alex Harper hampered by modest fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Safe or Solid Republican, with no polling yet to suggest competitiveness ahead of the November general election. Late scandals or primary upsets could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor a GOP hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$0 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$1,707 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open SC-05 House seat, vacated by incumbent Rep. Ralph Norman for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in this Solid Republican district with an R+11 partisan voter index and consistent GOP margins above 60% in recent cycles. Candidate filing closed March 30 without major surprises, setting a GOP primary matchup June 9 between state Sen. Wes Climer—boasting $488,000 cash on hand—and Bill Bledsoe, against a Democratic field of Andrew Clough, Mallory Dittmer, and Alex Harper hampered by modest fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Safe or Solid Republican, with no polling yet to suggest competitiveness ahead of the November general election. Late scandals or primary upsets could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$1,707종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open SC-05 House seat, vacated by incumbent Rep. Ralph Norman for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in this Solid Republican district with an R+11 partisan voter index and consistent GOP margins above 60% in recent cycles. Candidate filing closed March 30 without major surprises, setting a GOP primary matchup June 9 between state Sen. Wes Climer—boasting $488,000 cash on hand—and Bill Bledsoe, against a Democratic field of Andrew Clough, Mallory Dittmer, and Alex Harper hampered by modest fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Safe or Solid Republican, with no polling yet to suggest competitiveness ahead of the November general election. Late scandals or primary upsets could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,707종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open SC-05 House seat, vacated by incumbent Rep. Ralph Norman for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in this Solid Republican district with an R+11 partisan voter index and consistent GOP margins above 60% in recent cycles. Candidate filing closed March 30 without major surprises, setting a GOP primary matchup June 9 between state Sen. Wes Climer—boasting $488,000 cash on hand—and Bill Bledsoe, against a Democratic field of Andrew Clough, Mallory Dittmer, and Alex Harper hampered by modest fundraising. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Safe or Solid Republican, with no polling yet to suggest competitiveness ahead of the November general election. Late scandals or primary upsets could shift dynamics, though structural advantages favor a GOP hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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