Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Hagerty's unchallenged position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after Tennessee's March 10 filing deadline finalized candidate lists, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 91.5% to win the November 3 general election. Tennessee's strong Republican lean—last Democratic Senate victory in 1990—and Hagerty's 2020 win by over 20 points reinforce this safe seat rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A crowded but low-profile Democratic primary featuring Marquita Bradshaw and others lacks a clear frontrunner capable of mounting a statewide challenge. Upsets would require a major Hagerty scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave amid high GOP turnout in this non-battleground state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,332 거래량
$15,332 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
8%
$15,332 거래량
$15,332 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,801 거래량
92%
민주당
$6,531 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Hagerty's unchallenged position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after Tennessee's March 10 filing deadline finalized candidate lists, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 91.5% to win the November 3 general election. Tennessee's strong Republican lean—last Democratic Senate victory in 1990—and Hagerty's 2020 win by over 20 points reinforce this safe seat rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A crowded but low-profile Democratic primary featuring Marquita Bradshaw and others lacks a clear frontrunner capable of mounting a statewide challenge. Upsets would require a major Hagerty scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave amid high GOP turnout in this non-battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$15,332종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Hagerty's unchallenged position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after Tennessee's March 10 filing deadline finalized candidate lists, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 91.5% to win the November 3 general election. Tennessee's strong Republican lean—last Democratic Senate victory in 1990—and Hagerty's 2020 win by over 20 points reinforce this safe seat rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A crowded but low-profile Democratic primary featuring Marquita Bradshaw and others lacks a clear frontrunner capable of mounting a statewide challenge. Upsets would require a major Hagerty scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave amid high GOP turnout in this non-battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$15,332종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Hagerty's unchallenged position in the August 6 primary, confirmed after Tennessee's March 10 filing deadline finalized candidate lists, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 91.5% to win the November 3 general election. Tennessee's strong Republican lean—last Democratic Senate victory in 1990—and Hagerty's 2020 win by over 20 points reinforce this safe seat rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. A crowded but low-profile Democratic primary featuring Marquita Bradshaw and others lacks a clear frontrunner capable of mounting a statewide challenge. Upsets would require a major Hagerty scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave amid high GOP turnout in this non-battleground state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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