The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Texas 33rd congressional district reflects the seat's deep-blue partisan composition following 2025 mid-decade redistricting, which concentrated Democratic-leaning areas in the Dallas region. Colin Allred secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 26, 2026 Democratic primary runoff, bringing established name recognition from prior service in overlapping territory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie advanced from his party's runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94% implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments that could narrow this gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unexpectedly elevated GOP turnout in the district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,785 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$2,357 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Texas 33rd congressional district reflects the seat's deep-blue partisan composition following 2025 mid-decade redistricting, which concentrated Democratic-leaning areas in the Dallas region. Colin Allred secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 26, 2026 Democratic primary runoff, bringing established name recognition from prior service in overlapping territory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie advanced from his party's runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94% implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments that could narrow this gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unexpectedly elevated GOP turnout in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$5,143종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Texas 33rd congressional district reflects the seat's deep-blue partisan composition following 2025 mid-decade redistricting, which concentrated Democratic-leaning areas in the Dallas region. Colin Allred secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 26, 2026 Democratic primary runoff, bringing established name recognition from prior service in overlapping territory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie advanced from his party's runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94% implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments that could narrow this gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unexpectedly elevated GOP turnout in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,143종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Texas 33rd congressional district reflects the seat's deep-blue partisan composition following 2025 mid-decade redistricting, which concentrated Democratic-leaning areas in the Dallas region. Colin Allred secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 26, 2026 Democratic primary runoff, bringing established name recognition from prior service in overlapping territory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie advanced from his party's runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94% implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments that could narrow this gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unexpectedly elevated GOP turnout in the district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문