Texas' 33rd Congressional District, redrawn ahead of 2026 with a partisan voting index of D+18 and Kamala Harris winning 71% in the 2024 presidential vote, is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchoring trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in the open-seat race after Rep. Marc Veasey's retirement. The March 3 primaries featured robust Democratic turnout (47,000 votes) sending Rep. Julie Johnson and ex-Rep. Colin Allred to a May 26 runoff, versus meager Republican participation (13,000 votes) advancing perennial nominee Patrick Gillespie and John Sims; Allred and Johnson hold multimillion-dollar fundraising edges. A Republican upset would require a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, national GOP wave, or extraordinary GOP unification, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,491 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$77 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 33rd Congressional District, redrawn ahead of 2026 with a partisan voting index of D+18 and Kamala Harris winning 71% in the 2024 presidential vote, is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchoring trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in the open-seat race after Rep. Marc Veasey's retirement. The March 3 primaries featured robust Democratic turnout (47,000 votes) sending Rep. Julie Johnson and ex-Rep. Colin Allred to a May 26 runoff, versus meager Republican participation (13,000 votes) advancing perennial nominee Patrick Gillespie and John Sims; Allred and Johnson hold multimillion-dollar fundraising edges. A Republican upset would require a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, national GOP wave, or extraordinary GOP unification, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$2,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 33rd Congressional District, redrawn ahead of 2026 with a partisan voting index of D+18 and Kamala Harris winning 71% in the 2024 presidential vote, is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchoring trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in the open-seat race after Rep. Marc Veasey's retirement. The March 3 primaries featured robust Democratic turnout (47,000 votes) sending Rep. Julie Johnson and ex-Rep. Colin Allred to a May 26 runoff, versus meager Republican participation (13,000 votes) advancing perennial nominee Patrick Gillespie and John Sims; Allred and Johnson hold multimillion-dollar fundraising edges. A Republican upset would require a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, national GOP wave, or extraordinary GOP unification, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 33rd Congressional District, redrawn ahead of 2026 with a partisan voting index of D+18 and Kamala Harris winning 71% in the 2024 presidential vote, is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchoring trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in the open-seat race after Rep. Marc Veasey's retirement. The March 3 primaries featured robust Democratic turnout (47,000 votes) sending Rep. Julie Johnson and ex-Rep. Colin Allred to a May 26 runoff, versus meager Republican participation (13,000 votes) advancing perennial nominee Patrick Gillespie and John Sims; Allred and Johnson hold multimillion-dollar fundraising edges. A Republican upset would require a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, national GOP wave, or extraordinary GOP unification, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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