Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains one of the nation's most competitive House seats, with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of narrow victories alternating between parties. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans, who won reelection in 2024 by under four points, faces a Democratic primary field that includes former Representative Elaine Luria seeking a rematch, alongside other contenders. Major forecasters rate the race a toss-up ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. This positioning, along with Democratic organizational focus on flipping vulnerable Republican seats in the 2026 midterms, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
23%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$287 거래량
71%
Republican Party
$516 거래량
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains one of the nation's most competitive House seats, with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of narrow victories alternating between parties. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans, who won reelection in 2024 by under four points, faces a Democratic primary field that includes former Representative Elaine Luria seeking a rematch, alongside other contenders. Major forecasters rate the race a toss-up ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. This positioning, along with Democratic organizational focus on flipping vulnerable Republican seats in the 2026 midterms, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$803종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains one of the nation's most competitive House seats, with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of narrow victories alternating between parties. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans, who won reelection in 2024 by under four points, faces a Democratic primary field that includes former Representative Elaine Luria seeking a rematch, alongside other contenders. Major forecasters rate the race a toss-up ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. This positioning, along with Democratic organizational focus on flipping vulnerable Republican seats in the 2026 midterms, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$803종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 2nd congressional district remains one of the nation's most competitive House seats, with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of narrow victories alternating between parties. Incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans, who won reelection in 2024 by under four points, faces a Democratic primary field that includes former Representative Elaine Luria seeking a rematch, alongside other contenders. Major forecasters rate the race a toss-up ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. This positioning, along with Democratic organizational focus on flipping vulnerable Republican seats in the 2026 midterms, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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