Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 84% to win Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by former Rep. Elaine Luria's strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $1.75 million and over $2 million cash on hand, positioning her as the frontrunner in a crowded August 4 Democratic primary. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds a fundraising edge with $3.5 million raised but faces midterm headwinds in this even-leaning (Cook PVI D+0) battleground encompassing Virginia Beach and Norfolk's naval base, where she narrowly prevailed by three points in 2022. Recent DCCC targeting, EMILY's List and 314 Action endorsements for Luria, and ongoing state redistricting referendum debates underscore Democratic pickup potential despite toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
14%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$283 거래량
85%
Republican Party
$469 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 84% to win Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by former Rep. Elaine Luria's strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $1.75 million and over $2 million cash on hand, positioning her as the frontrunner in a crowded August 4 Democratic primary. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds a fundraising edge with $3.5 million raised but faces midterm headwinds in this even-leaning (Cook PVI D+0) battleground encompassing Virginia Beach and Norfolk's naval base, where she narrowly prevailed by three points in 2022. Recent DCCC targeting, EMILY's List and 314 Action endorsements for Luria, and ongoing state redistricting referendum debates underscore Democratic pickup potential despite toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$752종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 84% to win Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by former Rep. Elaine Luria's strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $1.75 million and over $2 million cash on hand, positioning her as the frontrunner in a crowded August 4 Democratic primary. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds a fundraising edge with $3.5 million raised but faces midterm headwinds in this even-leaning (Cook PVI D+0) battleground encompassing Virginia Beach and Norfolk's naval base, where she narrowly prevailed by three points in 2022. Recent DCCC targeting, EMILY's List and 314 Action endorsements for Luria, and ongoing state redistricting referendum debates underscore Democratic pickup potential despite toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$752종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 84% to win Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by former Rep. Elaine Luria's strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $1.75 million and over $2 million cash on hand, positioning her as the frontrunner in a crowded August 4 Democratic primary. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) holds a fundraising edge with $3.5 million raised but faces midterm headwinds in this even-leaning (Cook PVI D+0) battleground encompassing Virginia Beach and Norfolk's naval base, where she narrowly prevailed by three points in 2022. Recent DCCC targeting, EMILY's List and 314 Action endorsements for Luria, and ongoing state redistricting referendum debates underscore Democratic pickup potential despite toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report and others.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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