Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
46%
Republican Party
34%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$287 거래량
46%
Republican Party
$516 거래량
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$803종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$803종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s strong positioning against incumbent Republican Jennifer Kiggans in the competitive VA-02 race underpins the Democratic Party’s 53.5% implied probability, while the Republican Party sits at 34%. The district, centered in Hampton Roads, rates as a toss-up across major forecasters, reflecting its narrow 2024 margin and even partisan voting index. Luria, the former representative seeking a rematch, secured an early endorsement from incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger, bolstering her primary prospects ahead of the August 4 contest. Kiggans maintains substantial fundraising and incumbency advantages, yet the seat’s swing character and broader midterm dynamics contribute to traders assigning a modest Democratic edge in this battleground House race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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