Trader consensus prices Democratic retention of Virginia's 7th congressional district at 85.5%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's strong reelection positioning in the Cook-rated Lean D seat (D+2 PVI) following his narrow 2024 victory. Recent developments include a crowded Republican primary field with challengers like State Sen. Tara Durant announcing bids in February, yet no dominant GOP contender has emerged amid filing deadlines approaching May 26. The dominant near-term catalyst is Virginia's April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling General Assembly-drawn congressional maps for 2026, with polls and betting markets signaling likely passage that could solidify Democratic advantages in battleground districts like VA-07 before the August 4 primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$194 거래량
85%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic retention of Virginia's 7th congressional district at 85.5%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's strong reelection positioning in the Cook-rated Lean D seat (D+2 PVI) following his narrow 2024 victory. Recent developments include a crowded Republican primary field with challengers like State Sen. Tara Durant announcing bids in February, yet no dominant GOP contender has emerged amid filing deadlines approaching May 26. The dominant near-term catalyst is Virginia's April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling General Assembly-drawn congressional maps for 2026, with polls and betting markets signaling likely passage that could solidify Democratic advantages in battleground districts like VA-07 before the August 4 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$194종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic retention of Virginia's 7th congressional district at 85.5%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's strong reelection positioning in the Cook-rated Lean D seat (D+2 PVI) following his narrow 2024 victory. Recent developments include a crowded Republican primary field with challengers like State Sen. Tara Durant announcing bids in February, yet no dominant GOP contender has emerged amid filing deadlines approaching May 26. The dominant near-term catalyst is Virginia's April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling General Assembly-drawn congressional maps for 2026, with polls and betting markets signaling likely passage that could solidify Democratic advantages in battleground districts like VA-07 before the August 4 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$194종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic retention of Virginia's 7th congressional district at 85.5%, reflecting incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's strong reelection positioning in the Cook-rated Lean D seat (D+2 PVI) following his narrow 2024 victory. Recent developments include a crowded Republican primary field with challengers like State Sen. Tara Durant announcing bids in February, yet no dominant GOP contender has emerged amid filing deadlines approaching May 26. The dominant near-term catalyst is Virginia's April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling General Assembly-drawn congressional maps for 2026, with polls and betting markets signaling likely passage that could solidify Democratic advantages in battleground districts like VA-07 before the August 4 primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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