Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014 following the Crimea annexation, solidified as the G7's permanent format amid the 2022 Ukraine invasion and subsequent sanctions, drives the strong trader consensus against reinstatement before 2027. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including a February 2026 reaffirmation on the Ukraine war calling for good-faith negotiations and a March meeting where members agreed not to review sanctions, underscore unwavering opposition. While past remarks from figures like Trump lamented the exclusion, no diplomatic breakthroughs or official invitations have emerged, with geopolitical tensions, military aid condemnations to Russia from allies like North Korea and Iran, and institutional barriers requiring full G7 consensus making reversal improbable absent a major de-escalation or peace treaty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$10,779 거래량
$10,779 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$10,779 거래량
$10,779 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014 following the Crimea annexation, solidified as the G7's permanent format amid the 2022 Ukraine invasion and subsequent sanctions, drives the strong trader consensus against reinstatement before 2027. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including a February 2026 reaffirmation on the Ukraine war calling for good-faith negotiations and a March meeting where members agreed not to review sanctions, underscore unwavering opposition. While past remarks from figures like Trump lamented the exclusion, no diplomatic breakthroughs or official invitations have emerged, with geopolitical tensions, military aid condemnations to Russia from allies like North Korea and Iran, and institutional barriers requiring full G7 consensus making reversal improbable absent a major de-escalation or peace treaty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
거래량
$10,779종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014 following the Crimea annexation, solidified as the G7's permanent format amid the 2022 Ukraine invasion and subsequent sanctions, drives the strong trader consensus against reinstatement before 2027. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including a February 2026 reaffirmation on the Ukraine war calling for good-faith negotiations and a March meeting where members agreed not to review sanctions, underscore unwavering opposition. While past remarks from figures like Trump lamented the exclusion, no diplomatic breakthroughs or official invitations have emerged, with geopolitical tensions, military aid condemnations to Russia from allies like North Korea and Iran, and institutional barriers requiring full G7 consensus making reversal improbable absent a major de-escalation or peace treaty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$10,779종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014 following the Crimea annexation, solidified as the G7's permanent format amid the 2022 Ukraine invasion and subsequent sanctions, drives the strong trader consensus against reinstatement before 2027. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including a February 2026 reaffirmation on the Ukraine war calling for good-faith negotiations and a March meeting where members agreed not to review sanctions, underscore unwavering opposition. While past remarks from figures like Trump lamented the exclusion, no diplomatic breakthroughs or official invitations have emerged, with geopolitical tensions, military aid condemnations to Russia from allies like North Korea and Iran, and institutional barriers requiring full G7 consensus making reversal improbable absent a major de-escalation or peace treaty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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