Recent U.S.-Cuba diplomatic meetings in Havana, including U.S. State Department officials urging reforms with Cuban counterparts, underscore a pathway short of military action despite President Trump's March rhetoric labeling Cuba "next" after Iran and imposing energy sanctions that deepened Havana's crises. Cuban President Díaz-Canel vowed defense during Bay of Pigs anniversary events on April 16, prompting nationwide drills, while media reports cite unnamed sources on Pentagon contingency planning—contradicting a senior U.S. general's March 19 denial of invasion rehearsals. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring sustained sanctions, bilateral talks, and regime pressure over improbable full-scale invasion amid logistical hurdles, domestic priorities, and historical aversion to direct intervention.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,438,785 거래량
$1,438,785 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$1,438,785 거래량
$1,438,785 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S.-Cuba diplomatic meetings in Havana, including U.S. State Department officials urging reforms with Cuban counterparts, underscore a pathway short of military action despite President Trump's March rhetoric labeling Cuba "next" after Iran and imposing energy sanctions that deepened Havana's crises. Cuban President Díaz-Canel vowed defense during Bay of Pigs anniversary events on April 16, prompting nationwide drills, while media reports cite unnamed sources on Pentagon contingency planning—contradicting a senior U.S. general's March 19 denial of invasion rehearsals. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring sustained sanctions, bilateral talks, and regime pressure over improbable full-scale invasion amid logistical hurdles, domestic priorities, and historical aversion to direct intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
거래량
$1,438,785종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S.-Cuba diplomatic meetings in Havana, including U.S. State Department officials urging reforms with Cuban counterparts, underscore a pathway short of military action despite President Trump's March rhetoric labeling Cuba "next" after Iran and imposing energy sanctions that deepened Havana's crises. Cuban President Díaz-Canel vowed defense during Bay of Pigs anniversary events on April 16, prompting nationwide drills, while media reports cite unnamed sources on Pentagon contingency planning—contradicting a senior U.S. general's March 19 denial of invasion rehearsals. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring sustained sanctions, bilateral talks, and regime pressure over improbable full-scale invasion amid logistical hurdles, domestic priorities, and historical aversion to direct intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
거래량
$1,438,785종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Cuba diplomatic meetings in Havana, including U.S. State Department officials urging reforms with Cuban counterparts, underscore a pathway short of military action despite President Trump's March rhetoric labeling Cuba "next" after Iran and imposing energy sanctions that deepened Havana's crises. Cuban President Díaz-Canel vowed defense during Bay of Pigs anniversary events on April 16, prompting nationwide drills, while media reports cite unnamed sources on Pentagon contingency planning—contradicting a senior U.S. general's March 19 denial of invasion rehearsals. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects the wisdom of crowds favoring sustained sanctions, bilateral talks, and regime pressure over improbable full-scale invasion amid logistical hurdles, domestic priorities, and historical aversion to direct intervention.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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