Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Trump's February 2026 threats and military actions without congressional authorization, which have fueled Democratic calls for accountability and lowered his approval ratings. Recent House resolutions, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 introduced in early April by Rep. John Larson, formalize articles of impeachment alleging high crimes and misdemeanors, though they face dim prospects in the current Republican-controlled chamber. Polls show majority voter support for impeachment proceedings, with odds reflecting fears of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms enabling articles to advance, per historical patterns where opposition gains trigger such votes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$51,932 거래량
$51,932 거래량
2029.01.20
예
$51,932 거래량
$51,932 거래량
2029.01.20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Trump's February 2026 threats and military actions without congressional authorization, which have fueled Democratic calls for accountability and lowered his approval ratings. Recent House resolutions, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 introduced in early April by Rep. John Larson, formalize articles of impeachment alleging high crimes and misdemeanors, though they face dim prospects in the current Republican-controlled chamber. Polls show majority voter support for impeachment proceedings, with odds reflecting fears of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms enabling articles to advance, per historical patterns where opposition gains trigger such votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
거래량
$51,932종료일
2029.01.20마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Trump's February 2026 threats and military actions without congressional authorization, which have fueled Democratic calls for accountability and lowered his approval ratings. Recent House resolutions, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 introduced in early April by Rep. John Larson, formalize articles of impeachment alleging high crimes and misdemeanors, though they face dim prospects in the current Republican-controlled chamber. Polls show majority voter support for impeachment proceedings, with odds reflecting fears of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms enabling articles to advance, per historical patterns where opposition gains trigger such votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
거래량
$51,936종료일
2029.01.20마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Trump's February 2026 threats and military actions without congressional authorization, which have fueled Democratic calls for accountability and lowered his approval ratings. Recent House resolutions, such as H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 introduced in early April by Rep. John Larson, formalize articles of impeachment alleging high crimes and misdemeanors, though they face dim prospects in the current Republican-controlled chamber. Polls show majority voter support for impeachment proceedings, with odds reflecting fears of a Democratic House majority after the 2026 midterms enabling articles to advance, per historical patterns where opposition gains trigger such votes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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