West Virginia’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s 66-point 2024 general-election margin. Carol Miller secured the Republican nomination with 72 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Vince George advanced with 53 percent on the other side. These outcomes, combined with the district’s rural, conservative voter base, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or unforeseen candidate developments between now and Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$57,436 거래량
$57,436 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
97%
민주당
2%
$57,436 거래량
$57,436 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$46,594 거래량
97%
민주당
$10,842 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s 66-point 2024 general-election margin. Carol Miller secured the Republican nomination with 72 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Vince George advanced with 53 percent on the other side. These outcomes, combined with the district’s rural, conservative voter base, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or unforeseen candidate developments between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$57,436종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s 66-point 2024 general-election margin. Carol Miller secured the Republican nomination with 72 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Vince George advanced with 53 percent on the other side. These outcomes, combined with the district’s rural, conservative voter base, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or unforeseen candidate developments between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$57,436종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...West Virginia’s 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s 66-point 2024 general-election margin. Carol Miller secured the Republican nomination with 72 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Vince George advanced with 53 percent on the other side. These outcomes, combined with the district’s rural, conservative voter base, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or unforeseen candidate developments between now and Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문