Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
95%
Democrat
5%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$4,359 거래량
95%
Democrat
$1,590 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$5,949종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$5,949종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Gordon's April 16 announcement declining a third term due to term limits has confirmed an open-seat race, yet trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election, reflecting Wyoming's deep-red partisan lean where Democrats last won statewide office in 2006. A crowded GOP primary on August 18 features frontrunner Superintendent Megan Degenfelder—Trump-endorsed with legislative backing—alongside State Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, while Democrats field only nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem the race Solid Republican, with no polls indicating Democratic viability. Upsets would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary turnout shifts, or national anti-Republican wave, though historical precedents favor GOP dominance by wide margins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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