Turkish courts in May 2026 annulled the CHP’s 2023 leadership congress through an appeals ruling that removed Özgür Özel from the party chairmanship and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, achieving the government’s stated objective via judicial process without detention. Subsequent police action evicted Özel from CHP headquarters, yet produced no arrest, while related investigations have targeted other party officials and mayors. With the June 30 deadline only two weeks away and no reported active warrant or imminent charges against Özel, traders assign a 97.1% probability to “No,” viewing existing legal outcomes as sufficient. Late developments such as new prosecutorial filings, parliamentary immunity proceedings, or escalated enforcement could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,147 거래량
$29,147 거래량
2026.06.30
$29,147 거래량
$29,147 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts in May 2026 annulled the CHP’s 2023 leadership congress through an appeals ruling that removed Özgür Özel from the party chairmanship and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, achieving the government’s stated objective via judicial process without detention. Subsequent police action evicted Özel from CHP headquarters, yet produced no arrest, while related investigations have targeted other party officials and mayors. With the June 30 deadline only two weeks away and no reported active warrant or imminent charges against Özel, traders assign a 97.1% probability to “No,” viewing existing legal outcomes as sufficient. Late developments such as new prosecutorial filings, parliamentary immunity proceedings, or escalated enforcement could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
거래량
$29,147종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts in May 2026 annulled the CHP’s 2023 leadership congress through an appeals ruling that removed Özgür Özel from the party chairmanship and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, achieving the government’s stated objective via judicial process without detention. Subsequent police action evicted Özel from CHP headquarters, yet produced no arrest, while related investigations have targeted other party officials and mayors. With the June 30 deadline only two weeks away and no reported active warrant or imminent charges against Özel, traders assign a 97.1% probability to “No,” viewing existing legal outcomes as sufficient. Late developments such as new prosecutorial filings, parliamentary immunity proceedings, or escalated enforcement could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$29,147종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkish courts in May 2026 annulled the CHP’s 2023 leadership congress through an appeals ruling that removed Özgür Özel from the party chairmanship and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, achieving the government’s stated objective via judicial process without detention. Subsequent police action evicted Özel from CHP headquarters, yet produced no arrest, while related investigations have targeted other party officials and mayors. With the June 30 deadline only two weeks away and no reported active warrant or imminent charges against Özel, traders assign a 97.1% probability to “No,” viewing existing legal outcomes as sufficient. Late developments such as new prosecutorial filings, parliamentary immunity proceedings, or escalated enforcement could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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