Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and median PCE projections at 3.7% for the year, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds of another rate hike in 2026. The September 16 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, backed by a 4.1% median dot-plot endpoint for year-end, reflects a hawkish policy shift amid solid GDP growth, resilient domestic spending, and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate. Traders price in this path given recent central bank communications and energy-driven price pressures. Still, faster-than-expected disinflation or a material labor-market softening ahead of the October and December meetings could alter the trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
91% szansa
$149,137 Wol.
$149,137 Wol.
Dec 8, 2026
91% szansa
$149,137 Wol.
$149,137 Wol.
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and median PCE projections at 3.7% for the year, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds of another rate hike in 2026. The September 16 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, backed by a 4.1% median dot-plot endpoint for year-end, reflects a hawkish policy shift amid solid GDP growth, resilient domestic spending, and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate. Traders price in this path given recent central bank communications and energy-driven price pressures. Still, faster-than-expected disinflation or a material labor-market softening ahead of the October and December meetings could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$149,137Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and median PCE projections at 3.7% for the year, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds of another rate hike in 2026. The September 16 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, backed by a 4.1% median dot-plot endpoint for year-end, reflects a hawkish policy shift amid solid GDP growth, resilient domestic spending, and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate. Traders price in this path given recent central bank communications and energy-driven price pressures. Still, faster-than-expected disinflation or a material labor-market softening ahead of the October and December meetings could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070be91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and median PCE projections at 3.7% for the year, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds of another rate hike in 2026. The September 16 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, backed by a 4.1% median dot-plot endpoint for year-end, reflects a hawkish policy shift amid solid GDP growth, resilient domestic spending, and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate. Traders price in this path given recent central bank communications and energy-driven price pressures. Still, faster-than-expected disinflation or a material labor-market softening ahead of the October and December meetings could alter the trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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