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icon for Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner
Polityka·Kanada

Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

icon for Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner
Polityka·Kanada

Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

Mike Derry 77%

John Roggeveen 42.0%

Kyle Joseph 22.0%

Kyle Campbell 0

Polymarket
NOWE

Mike Derry 77%

John Roggeveen 42.0%

Kyle Joseph 22.0%

Kyle Campbell 0

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Mike Derry

Mike Derry

$265 Wol.

77%

icon for John Roggeveen

John Roggeveen

$0 Wol.

42%

icon for Kyle Joseph

Kyle Joseph

$8 Wol.

22%

icon for Kyle Campbell

Kyle Campbell

$49 Wol.

43%

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Mike Derry leads as the United Conservative Party nominee in the September 14, 2026, Calgary-Shaw by-election, following the resignation of former UCP cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz. The riding returned UCP support above 56 percent in 2023, and Derry secured the nomination in late June after defeating a sitting Calgary city councillor. NDP candidate Kyle Campbell, Liberal leader John Roggeveen, and Progressive Tory Kyle Joseph round out the field, yet face structural headwinds in a district with consistent conservative voting patterns. Premier Danielle Smith has publicly backed Derry, framing the contest around resource-sector priorities. Market pricing reflects this baseline advantage while assigning lower shares to challengers, consistent with historical incumbent-party retention rates in Alberta by-elections.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Wolumen
$322
Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Mike Derry leads as the United Conservative Party nominee in the September 14, 2026, Calgary-Shaw by-election, following the resignation of former UCP cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz. The riding returned UCP support above 56 percent in 2023, and Derry secured the nomination in late June after defeating a sitting Calgary city councillor. NDP candidate Kyle Campbell, Liberal leader John Roggeveen, and Progressive Tory Kyle Joseph round out the field, yet face structural headwinds in a district with consistent conservative voting patterns. Premier Danielle Smith has publicly backed Derry, framing the contest around resource-sector priorities. Market pricing reflects this baseline advantage while assigning lower shares to challengers, consistent with historical incumbent-party retention rates in Alberta by-elections.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Wolumen
$322
Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Mike Derry" z 77%, za nim "Kyle Campbell" z 44%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 77¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 77% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 21, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" jest "Mike Derry" z 77%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 77% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Kyle Campbell" z 44%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.