Former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations from former staffers, including claims of assault and rape dating back years. The House Ethics Committee launched a probe that ended upon his resignation, while the Department of Justice, Los Angeles authorities, and Manhattan district attorney have opened investigations into the accusations. No formal charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have been issued as of mid-April 2026, reflecting procedural timelines in high-profile cases that typically span months for evidence gathering and grand jury review. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" implies skepticism over an arrest by May 31 absent accelerated legal action or new evidence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$10,586 Wol.
$10,586 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$10,586 Wol.
$10,586 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations from former staffers, including claims of assault and rape dating back years. The House Ethics Committee launched a probe that ended upon his resignation, while the Department of Justice, Los Angeles authorities, and Manhattan district attorney have opened investigations into the accusations. No formal charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have been issued as of mid-April 2026, reflecting procedural timelines in high-profile cases that typically span months for evidence gathering and grand jury review. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" implies skepticism over an arrest by May 31 absent accelerated legal action or new evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,586Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations from former staffers, including claims of assault and rape dating back years. The House Ethics Committee launched a probe that ended upon his resignation, while the Department of Justice, Los Angeles authorities, and Manhattan district attorney have opened investigations into the accusations. No formal charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have been issued as of mid-April 2026, reflecting procedural timelines in high-profile cases that typically span months for evidence gathering and grand jury review. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" implies skepticism over an arrest by May 31 absent accelerated legal action or new evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$10,586Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations from former staffers, including claims of assault and rape dating back years. The House Ethics Committee launched a probe that ended upon his resignation, while the Department of Justice, Los Angeles authorities, and Manhattan district attorney have opened investigations into the accusations. No formal charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have been issued as of mid-April 2026, reflecting procedural timelines in high-profile cases that typically span months for evidence gathering and grand jury review. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" implies skepticism over an arrest by May 31 absent accelerated legal action or new evidence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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