Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2%, reflecting the European Union's entrenched stability amid no active Article 50 invocations since Brexit and sustained policy advancements like the March 2026 EU leaders' deadlines to bolster the single market. Recent Polish political tensions, including Prime Minister Tusk's warnings of Polexit rhetoric from opposition forces and fact-checks confirming no legal exit moves as of mid-April, have failed to shift dynamics, as Eurosceptic parties lack governing majorities in key states like France, Germany, or Italy. High interdependence in trade, eurozone fiscal mechanisms, and shared security via NATO underpin confidence through 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise electoral victories by hardline Eurosceptics prompting referendums or a cascade of sovereign debt crises fracturing unity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEU dissolves before 2027?
EU dissolves before 2027?
$161,975 Wol.
$161,975 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$161,975 Wol.
$161,975 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2%, reflecting the European Union's entrenched stability amid no active Article 50 invocations since Brexit and sustained policy advancements like the March 2026 EU leaders' deadlines to bolster the single market. Recent Polish political tensions, including Prime Minister Tusk's warnings of Polexit rhetoric from opposition forces and fact-checks confirming no legal exit moves as of mid-April, have failed to shift dynamics, as Eurosceptic parties lack governing majorities in key states like France, Germany, or Italy. High interdependence in trade, eurozone fiscal mechanisms, and shared security via NATO underpin confidence through 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise electoral victories by hardline Eurosceptics prompting referendums or a cascade of sovereign debt crises fracturing unity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$161,975Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2%, reflecting the European Union's entrenched stability amid no active Article 50 invocations since Brexit and sustained policy advancements like the March 2026 EU leaders' deadlines to bolster the single market. Recent Polish political tensions, including Prime Minister Tusk's warnings of Polexit rhetoric from opposition forces and fact-checks confirming no legal exit moves as of mid-April, have failed to shift dynamics, as Eurosceptic parties lack governing majorities in key states like France, Germany, or Italy. High interdependence in trade, eurozone fiscal mechanisms, and shared security via NATO underpin confidence through 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise electoral victories by hardline Eurosceptics prompting referendums or a cascade of sovereign debt crises fracturing unity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$161,975Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2%, reflecting the European Union's entrenched stability amid no active Article 50 invocations since Brexit and sustained policy advancements like the March 2026 EU leaders' deadlines to bolster the single market. Recent Polish political tensions, including Prime Minister Tusk's warnings of Polexit rhetoric from opposition forces and fact-checks confirming no legal exit moves as of mid-April, have failed to shift dynamics, as Eurosceptic parties lack governing majorities in key states like France, Germany, or Italy. High interdependence in trade, eurozone fiscal mechanisms, and shared security via NATO underpin confidence through 2026. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise electoral victories by hardline Eurosceptics prompting referendums or a cascade of sovereign debt crises fracturing unity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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