Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$95,445 Wol.
$95,445 Wol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$95,445 Wol.
$95,445 Wol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania