Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services point to a daytime high near 18°C in Buenos Aires on September 15, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds initially from the northwest before shifting southeast. This aligns with typical mid-September spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where historical averages hover around 17°C and model consensus shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling. Trader positioning favoring 19°C (45% implied probability) and 18°C (23%) over 20°C (20.5%) reflects observed temperatures climbing into the upper teens midday alongside uncertainty in exact peak readings at official stations. No major atmospheric shifts or extreme events have altered the outlook in recent updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 15?
19°C 45%
18°C 24%
20°C 20%
17°C 6%
$21,199 Wol.
$21,199 Wol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
24%
19°C
45%
20°C
20%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
18°C 24%
20°C 20%
17°C 6%
$21,199 Wol.
$21,199 Wol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
24%
19°C
45%
20°C
20%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services point to a daytime high near 18°C in Buenos Aires on September 15, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds initially from the northwest before shifting southeast. This aligns with typical mid-September spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where historical averages hover around 17°C and model consensus shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling. Trader positioning favoring 19°C (45% implied probability) and 18°C (23%) over 20°C (20.5%) reflects observed temperatures climbing into the upper teens midday alongside uncertainty in exact peak readings at official stations. No major atmospheric shifts or extreme events have altered the outlook in recent updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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