A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–97°F and 98–99°F as the leading outcomes for Houston’s August 19 high temperature, with combined market-implied odds exceeding 93%. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime insolation under minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient surface heating aligned with the mid-August climatological average near 96°F and recent above-normal temperature outlooks. Dew points around 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet dry mid-level air should limit widespread convection and cap extremes above 100°F at low probability. Afternoon observations and final model runs tomorrow will refine the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 19?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 19?
96-97°F 55%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 7%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
55%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 55%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 7%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
89°F or below
$50 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$257 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$258 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$625 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$2,351 Wol.
55%
98-99°F
$576 Wol.
41%
100-101°F
$628 Wol.
7%
102-103°F
$221 Wol.
1%
104-105°F
$40 Wol.
<1%
106-107°F
$222 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$130 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–97°F and 98–99°F as the leading outcomes for Houston’s August 19 high temperature, with combined market-implied odds exceeding 93%. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime insolation under minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient surface heating aligned with the mid-August climatological average near 96°F and recent above-normal temperature outlooks. Dew points around 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet dry mid-level air should limit widespread convection and cap extremes above 100°F at low probability. Afternoon observations and final model runs tomorrow will refine the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,357Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–97°F and 98–99°F as the leading outcomes for Houston’s August 19 high temperature, with combined market-implied odds exceeding 93%. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime insolation under minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient surface heating aligned with the mid-August climatological average near 96°F and recent above-normal temperature outlooks. Dew points around 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet dry mid-level air should limit widespread convection and cap extremes above 100°F at low probability. Afternoon observations and final model runs tomorrow will refine the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,357Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–97°F and 98–99°F as the leading outcomes for Houston’s August 19 high temperature, with combined market-implied odds exceeding 93%. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime insolation under minimal cloud cover, promoting efficient surface heating aligned with the mid-August climatological average near 96°F and recent above-normal temperature outlooks. Dew points around 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet dry mid-level air should limit widespread convection and cap extremes above 100°F at low probability. Afternoon observations and final model runs tomorrow will refine the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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