Strong climatological norms and official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration underpin the near-certain trader consensus for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Subtropical high pressure and southerly flow favor warm advection, with ensemble models projecting afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below the threshold. This aligns with August baselines of 29–32 °C and historical precedent of frequent highs exceeding 35 °C. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted persistent overcast and heavy precipitation, though current guidance shows no such cooling mechanism through the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$209 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$419 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$399 Wol.
1%
19°C
$709 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$389 Wol.
1%
21°C
$389 Wol.
1%
22°C
$509 Wol.
1%
23°C
$289 Wol.
1%
24°C
$257 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$162 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$700 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong climatological norms and official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration underpin the near-certain trader consensus for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Subtropical high pressure and southerly flow favor warm advection, with ensemble models projecting afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below the threshold. This aligns with August baselines of 29–32 °C and historical precedent of frequent highs exceeding 35 °C. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted persistent overcast and heavy precipitation, though current guidance shows no such cooling mechanism through the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,431Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong climatological norms and official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration underpin the near-certain trader consensus for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Subtropical high pressure and southerly flow favor warm advection, with ensemble models projecting afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below the threshold. This aligns with August baselines of 29–32 °C and historical precedent of frequent highs exceeding 35 °C. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted persistent overcast and heavy precipitation, though current guidance shows no such cooling mechanism through the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,431Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong climatological norms and official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration underpin the near-certain trader consensus for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Subtropical high pressure and southerly flow favor warm advection, with ensemble models projecting afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress temperatures below the threshold. This aligns with August baselines of 29–32 °C and historical precedent of frequent highs exceeding 35 °C. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted persistent overcast and heavy precipitation, though current guidance shows no such cooling mechanism through the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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