Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 13 point to daytime highs near or above 26–28°C, aligning with the market's 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 30–33°C under typical subtropical high pressure, though recent model runs show moderating influences from scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies emphasizes persistent warm, humid conditions with minimal cold-air advection. A stronger frontal passage or prolonged overcast skies with heavy rainfall represent the main variables that could realistically suppress the maximum below the 26°C threshold, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on consensus model data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 2%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 2%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
$110 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$110 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$110 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$260 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$403 Wol.
1%
21°C
$132 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$132 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$382 Wol.
1%
24°C
$382 Wol.
1%
25°C
$449 Wol.
2%
26°C or higher
$849 Wol.
95%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 13 point to daytime highs near or above 26–28°C, aligning with the market's 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 30–33°C under typical subtropical high pressure, though recent model runs show moderating influences from scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies emphasizes persistent warm, humid conditions with minimal cold-air advection. A stronger frontal passage or prolonged overcast skies with heavy rainfall represent the main variables that could realistically suppress the maximum below the 26°C threshold, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on consensus model data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,318Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 13 point to daytime highs near or above 26–28°C, aligning with the market's 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 30–33°C under typical subtropical high pressure, though recent model runs show moderating influences from scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies emphasizes persistent warm, humid conditions with minimal cold-air advection. A stronger frontal passage or prolonged overcast skies with heavy rainfall represent the main variables that could realistically suppress the maximum below the 26°C threshold, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on consensus model data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,318Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 13 point to daytime highs near or above 26–28°C, aligning with the market's 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 30–33°C under typical subtropical high pressure, though recent model runs show moderating influences from scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies emphasizes persistent warm, humid conditions with minimal cold-air advection. A stronger frontal passage or prolonged overcast skies with heavy rainfall represent the main variables that could realistically suppress the maximum below the 26°C threshold, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on consensus model data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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