Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 23?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$66,172 Wol.
$66,172 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$66,172 Wol.
$66,172 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
61°F or below
$121 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$38 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$69 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$591 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$9,927 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$22,992 Wol.
Yes
72-73°F
$14,729 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$9,173 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$5,860 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$1,270 Wol.
No
80°F or higher
$1,401 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$66,172Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:09 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$66,172Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:09 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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