**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers expected on September 1, forms the main driver capping daytime heating in Lucknow.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a maximum of 31°C under generally overcast skies and spells of rain, consistent with recent model runs showing high humidity (near 80-90%) and light easterly winds that limit insolation. Recent observations indicate afternoon maxima of 31-34°C have been tempered by convective rainfall, creating tight clustering around 29-31°C in trader-implied odds. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the timing and intensity of convection—earlier or heavier showers favor the lower end near 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated short-range forecasts from IMD and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
12%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$18 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$45 Wol.
1%
28°C
$1 Wol.
12%
29°C
$7 Wol.
16%
30°C
$9 Wol.
30%
31°C
$157 Wol.
24%
32°C
$13 Wol.
10%
33°C
$3 Wol.
3%
34°C
$7 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$22 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers expected on September 1, forms the main driver capping daytime heating in Lucknow.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a maximum of 31°C under generally overcast skies and spells of rain, consistent with recent model runs showing high humidity (near 80-90%) and light easterly winds that limit insolation. Recent observations indicate afternoon maxima of 31-34°C have been tempered by convective rainfall, creating tight clustering around 29-31°C in trader-implied odds. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the timing and intensity of convection—earlier or heavier showers favor the lower end near 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated short-range forecasts from IMD and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$282Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers expected on September 1, forms the main driver capping daytime heating in Lucknow.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a maximum of 31°C under generally overcast skies and spells of rain, consistent with recent model runs showing high humidity (near 80-90%) and light easterly winds that limit insolation. Recent observations indicate afternoon maxima of 31-34°C have been tempered by convective rainfall, creating tight clustering around 29-31°C in trader-implied odds. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the timing and intensity of convection—earlier or heavier showers favor the lower end near 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated short-range forecasts from IMD and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$282Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers expected on September 1, forms the main driver capping daytime heating in Lucknow.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a maximum of 31°C under generally overcast skies and spells of rain, consistent with recent model runs showing high humidity (near 80-90%) and light easterly winds that limit insolation. Recent observations indicate afternoon maxima of 31-34°C have been tempered by convective rainfall, creating tight clustering around 29-31°C in trader-implied odds. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the timing and intensity of convection—earlier or heavier showers favor the lower end near 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated short-range forecasts from IMD and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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