Recent official forecasts from AEMET and ensemble model consensus indicate a sharp temperature drop in Madrid on September 9 driven by a northerly wind shift and weak frontal passage, with daytime maxima centered near 27°C after several days above 34°C. This positions 27°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflecting tight clustering around the historical September 9 average high of 28°C. Key resolution factors include the precise peak reading at the Retiro station amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation chances below 30%. Updated model runs overnight will refine steering patterns and any residual warm advection before final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
27°C 45%
28°C 24%
26°C 24%
25°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
24%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 24%
26°C 24%
25°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$670 Wol.
1%
25°C
$267 Wol.
5%
26°C
$576 Wol.
24%
27°C
$1,989 Wol.
45%
28°C
$660 Wol.
24%
29°C
$481 Wol.
4%
30°C
$681 Wol.
1%
31°C
$64 Wol.
1%
32°C
$350 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$166 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$385 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and ensemble model consensus indicate a sharp temperature drop in Madrid on September 9 driven by a northerly wind shift and weak frontal passage, with daytime maxima centered near 27°C after several days above 34°C. This positions 27°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflecting tight clustering around the historical September 9 average high of 28°C. Key resolution factors include the precise peak reading at the Retiro station amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation chances below 30%. Updated model runs overnight will refine steering patterns and any residual warm advection before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,264Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and ensemble model consensus indicate a sharp temperature drop in Madrid on September 9 driven by a northerly wind shift and weak frontal passage, with daytime maxima centered near 27°C after several days above 34°C. This positions 27°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflecting tight clustering around the historical September 9 average high of 28°C. Key resolution factors include the precise peak reading at the Retiro station amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation chances below 30%. Updated model runs overnight will refine steering patterns and any residual warm advection before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,264Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from AEMET and ensemble model consensus indicate a sharp temperature drop in Madrid on September 9 driven by a northerly wind shift and weak frontal passage, with daytime maxima centered near 27°C after several days above 34°C. This positions 27°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C and 28°C, reflecting tight clustering around the historical September 9 average high of 28°C. Key resolution factors include the precise peak reading at the Retiro station amid partly cloudy conditions and light precipitation chances below 30%. Updated model runs overnight will refine steering patterns and any residual warm advection before final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania