Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on June 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 23?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 Wol.
$24,546 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 Wol.
$24,546 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
28°C or below
$277 Wol.
No
29°C
$183 Wol.
No
30°C
$797 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,978 Wol.
No
32°C
$9,121 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$3,458 Wol.
No
34°C
$2,840 Wol.
No
35°C
$2,320 Wol.
No
36°C
$1,110 Wol.
No
37°C
$278 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$186 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,546Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$24,546Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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