National Weather Service forecast models position a daily maximum near 89–91°F as the leading outcome for Miami on August 7, reflecting a persistent Bermuda high that favors light steering flow, high humidity, and limited afternoon convection under typical early-August subtropical conditions. Heat index values near 103–104°F underscore strong moisture but cap extreme surface heating, while isolated thunderstorms may briefly suppress peaks. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 87–90°F and the absence of strong cold fronts or tropical systems. Trader consensus assigns over 80% implied probability to 88–91°F bins, aligning with official guidance that accounts for sea-breeze moderation and model uncertainty in timing of any showers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on August 7?
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 30%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 5%
$20,231 Wol.
$20,231 Wol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
53%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 30%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 5%
$20,231 Wol.
$20,231 Wol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
53%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models position a daily maximum near 89–91°F as the leading outcome for Miami on August 7, reflecting a persistent Bermuda high that favors light steering flow, high humidity, and limited afternoon convection under typical early-August subtropical conditions. Heat index values near 103–104°F underscore strong moisture but cap extreme surface heating, while isolated thunderstorms may briefly suppress peaks. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 87–90°F and the absence of strong cold fronts or tropical systems. Trader consensus assigns over 80% implied probability to 88–91°F bins, aligning with official guidance that accounts for sea-breeze moderation and model uncertainty in timing of any showers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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