Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on May 31?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 31?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 Wol.
$42,551 Wol.
May 31, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 Wol.
$42,551 Wol.
May 31, 2026
25°C or below
$486 Wol.
No
26°C
$411 Wol.
No
27°C
$900 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,320 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,923 Wol.
No
30°C
$7,303 Wol.
No
31°C
$9,001 Wol.
Yes
32°C
$5,704 Wol.
No
33°C
$4,940 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,291 Wol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,271 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,551Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$42,551Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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