Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Centre and global models including ECMWF converged on a daytime maximum of 21°C for Moscow on May 24, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable atmospheric conditions that limited diurnal warming. This aligns with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome at Vnukovo International Airport, the designated measurement site, following a period of record spring heat earlier in May that has since moderated toward seasonal norms. Minor model variability in boundary-layer moisture or localized effects could theoretically produce a 1–2°C deviation, though ensemble spreads remained narrow and no such shifts materialized in final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 24?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$185,538 Wol.
$185,538 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$185,538 Wol.
$185,538 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Centre and global models including ECMWF converged on a daytime maximum of 21°C for Moscow on May 24, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable atmospheric conditions that limited diurnal warming. This aligns with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome at Vnukovo International Airport, the designated measurement site, following a period of record spring heat earlier in May that has since moderated toward seasonal norms. Minor model variability in boundary-layer moisture or localized effects could theoretically produce a 1–2°C deviation, though ensemble spreads remained narrow and no such shifts materialized in final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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