Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Services positions Munich’s August 12 daily maximum near 30–31°C under a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing modest warming from recent early-August peaks near 34°C but without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical August baselines for Munich average 24–26°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme anomaly; updated model outputs ahead of the event window remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward 29°C or 32°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 12?
30°C 49%
31°C 25%
29°C 22%
32°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
22%
30°C
49%
31°C
25%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 49%
31°C 25%
29°C 22%
32°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$31 Wol.
1%
27°C
$31 Wol.
2%
28°C
$57 Wol.
4%
29°C
$559 Wol.
22%
30°C
$186 Wol.
49%
31°C
$102 Wol.
25%
32°C
$48 Wol.
5%
33°C
$31 Wol.
3%
34°C
$7 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$41 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Services positions Munich’s August 12 daily maximum near 30–31°C under a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing modest warming from recent early-August peaks near 34°C but without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical August baselines for Munich average 24–26°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme anomaly; updated model outputs ahead of the event window remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward 29°C or 32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,135Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Services positions Munich’s August 12 daily maximum near 30–31°C under a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing modest warming from recent early-August peaks near 34°C but without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical August baselines for Munich average 24–26°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme anomaly; updated model outputs ahead of the event window remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward 29°C or 32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,135Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Services positions Munich’s August 12 daily maximum near 30–31°C under a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs showing modest warming from recent early-August peaks near 34°C but without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical August baselines for Munich average 24–26°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme anomaly; updated model outputs ahead of the event window remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward 29°C or 32°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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