Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature near 23°C in Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.2°C and follows a cooling trend after warmer late-August conditions, with no strong warm-air advection or blocking high expected to elevate readings. Low overnight lows around 12–13°C further constrain daytime maxima. Trader-implied probabilities centering on 23–24°C reflect this model consensus, though final guidance from the 31 August runs could shift outcomes slightly if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 1?
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C
$0 Wol.
6%
22°C
$0 Wol.
12%
23°C
$81 Wol.
29%
24°C
$615 Wol.
45%
25°C
$56 Wol.
13%
26°C
$0 Wol.
7%
27°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature near 23°C in Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.2°C and follows a cooling trend after warmer late-August conditions, with no strong warm-air advection or blocking high expected to elevate readings. Low overnight lows around 12–13°C further constrain daytime maxima. Trader-implied probabilities centering on 23–24°C reflect this model consensus, though final guidance from the 31 August runs could shift outcomes slightly if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$752Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature near 23°C in Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.2°C and follows a cooling trend after warmer late-August conditions, with no strong warm-air advection or blocking high expected to elevate readings. Low overnight lows around 12–13°C further constrain daytime maxima. Trader-implied probabilities centering on 23–24°C reflect this model consensus, though final guidance from the 31 August runs could shift outcomes slightly if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$752Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature near 23°C in Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.2°C and follows a cooling trend after warmer late-August conditions, with no strong warm-air advection or blocking high expected to elevate readings. Low overnight lows around 12–13°C further constrain daytime maxima. Trader-implied probabilities centering on 23–24°C reflect this model consensus, though final guidance from the 31 August runs could shift outcomes slightly if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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