Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 1?
9°C or below 90%
19°C or higher 59%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
90%
10°C
50%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
50%
15°C
41%
16°C
2%
17°C
43%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
59%
9°C or below 90%
19°C or higher 59%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
90%
10°C
$0 Wol.
50%
11°C
$0 Wol.
27%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
50%
15°C
$0 Wol.
41%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
43%
18°C
$0 Wol.
8%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania