Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 26?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$110,600 Wol.
$110,600 Wol.
Jun 26, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$110,600 Wol.
$110,600 Wol.
Jun 26, 2026
22°C or below
$32,464 Wol.
No
23°C
$9,519 Wol.
No
24°C
$3,392 Wol.
No
25°C
$4,606 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,736 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,096 Wol.
No
28°C
$5,581 Wol.
No
29°C
$9,012 Wol.
No
30°C
$12,675 Wol.
Yes
31°C
$10,399 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$15,121 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$110,600Data zakończenia
Jun 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$110,600Data zakończenia
Jun 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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