Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$90,754 Wol.
$90,754 Wol.
Apr 17, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$90,754 Wol.
$90,754 Wol.
Apr 17, 2026
57°F or below
$6,292 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$3,527 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$4,875 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$4,189 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$6,664 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$6,610 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$30,468 Wol.
Yes
70-71°F
$11,231 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$7,183 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$4,594 Wol.
No
76°F or higher
$5,120 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$90,754Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$90,754Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F in San Francisco on April 17, 2026, based on verified observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This positioning stems from official hourly records peaking at 68 or 69°F around midday amid mostly sunny conditions, light onshore winds, and typical spring marine layer dissipation, consistent with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting highs in the upper 60s after recent rainy weather cleared. Historical April averages hover around 64°F, making this mildly above-normal but unremarkable; only a rare post hoc data correction from NWS auditors could challenge resolution, though such revisions are infrequent for established readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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