Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$138,135 Wol.
$138,135 Wol.
May 24, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$138,135 Wol.
$138,135 Wol.
May 24, 2026
21°C or below
$4,483 Wol.
No
22°C
$8,250 Wol.
No
23°C
$40,261 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$22,515 Wol.
No
25°C
$12,290 Wol.
No
26°C
$12,460 Wol.
No
27°C
$10,431 Wol.
No
28°C
$8,751 Wol.
No
29°C
$8,141 Wol.
No
30°C
$4,781 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$5,772 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$138,135Data zakończenia
May 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$138,135Data zakończenia
May 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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