**Trader consensus in this Tel Aviv temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for the daily maximum on August 22, 2026, reflecting ensemble model guidance and typical late-August conditions.** Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a high of 31°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while international sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicate 31–32°C; slight upward revisions in some global model runs (ECMWF/GFS) account for the market’s tilt toward 33°C at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, dry continental air, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation keep temperatures near the seasonal climatological average of 31–32°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected ahead of resolution. No incoming weather systems or heat-wave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities significantly higher or lower, and traders appear to weight recent model consensus alongside historical August extremes when pricing the narrow 32–33°C band. Updated official observations and final model runs tomorrow morning will determine the exact recorded maximum used for settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
33°C 56%
32°C 39%
34°C 5%
31°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
39%
33°C
56%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 39%
34°C 5%
31°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$197 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$212 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$397 Wol.
2%
32°C
$1,151 Wol.
39%
33°C
$1,427 Wol.
56%
34°C
$476 Wol.
5%
35°C
$559 Wol.
1%
36°C
$512 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$487 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$490 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$424 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this Tel Aviv temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for the daily maximum on August 22, 2026, reflecting ensemble model guidance and typical late-August conditions.** Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a high of 31°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while international sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicate 31–32°C; slight upward revisions in some global model runs (ECMWF/GFS) account for the market’s tilt toward 33°C at 56.5% implied probability.
Persistent subtropical high pressure, dry continental air, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation keep temperatures near the seasonal climatological average of 31–32°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected ahead of resolution. No incoming weather systems or heat-wave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities significantly higher or lower, and traders appear to weight recent model consensus alongside historical August extremes when pricing the narrow 32–33°C band. Updated official observations and final model runs tomorrow morning will determine the exact recorded maximum used for settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,331Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this Tel Aviv temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for the daily maximum on August 22, 2026, reflecting ensemble model guidance and typical late-August conditions.** Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a high of 31°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while international sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicate 31–32°C; slight upward revisions in some global model runs (ECMWF/GFS) account for the market’s tilt toward 33°C at 56.5% implied probability.
Persistent subtropical high pressure, dry continental air, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation keep temperatures near the seasonal climatological average of 31–32°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected ahead of resolution. No incoming weather systems or heat-wave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities significantly higher or lower, and traders appear to weight recent model consensus alongside historical August extremes when pricing the narrow 32–33°C band. Updated official observations and final model runs tomorrow morning will determine the exact recorded maximum used for settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,331Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in this Tel Aviv temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for the daily maximum on August 22, 2026, reflecting ensemble model guidance and typical late-August conditions.** Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a high of 31°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while international sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicate 31–32°C; slight upward revisions in some global model runs (ECMWF/GFS) account for the market’s tilt toward 33°C at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, dry continental air, and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation keep temperatures near the seasonal climatological average of 31–32°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected ahead of resolution. No incoming weather systems or heat-wave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities significantly higher or lower, and traders appear to weight recent model consensus alongside historical August extremes when pricing the narrow 32–33°C band. Updated official observations and final model runs tomorrow morning will determine the exact recorded maximum used for settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania